Manufacturer Signal-to-Cutoff Threshold Underestimates Cumulative Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Evidence from the Los Angeles Firefighters Study.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this analysis was to compare the performance sensitivity and specificity of manufacturer-recommended signal-to-cutoff (S/Co) thresholds with modified S/Co values to estimate the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies in a cohort of firefighters with a known infection history. METHODS: Plasma venipuncture samples were used for serologic analysis of firefighters in Los Angeles, CA, USA, in October 2020. Seropositivity was assessed using the manufacturer's recommended S/Co (≥1.4 IgG) and modified S/Co thresholds based on measured antibody levels in 178 negative control patients who had blood drawn prior to the emergence of COVID-19. Optimal S/Co threshold was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Of 585 firefighters included in the study, 52 (8.9%) reported having a PCR-positive test history prior to antibody testing. Thirty-five (67.3%) firefighters with a previous PCR-positive test were seropositive based on the manufacturer S/Co thresholds, consistent with an estimated 67.3% sensitivity and 100% specificity. After evaluating multiple modified S/Co thresholds based on pre-pandemic negative samples, a modified S/Co of 0.36 was found to yield optimal sensitivity (88.5%) and specificity (99.4%) by ROC curve analysis. This modified threshold improved serostatus classification accuracy by 21.2%. CONCLUSIONS: S/Co thresholds based on known negative samples significantly increase seropositivity and more accurately estimate cumulative incidence of disease compared to manufacturer-based thresholds.

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among firefighters in Los Angeles, California.

OBJECTIVE: We estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among a sample of firefighters in the Los Angeles (LA), California fire department in October 2020 and compare demographic and contextual factors for seropositivity. METHODS: We conducted a serological survey of firefighters in LA, California, USA, in October 2020. Individuals were classified as seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 if they tested positive for IgG, IgM or both. We compared demographic and contextual factors for seropositivity. RESULTS: All firefighters in LA, California, USA were invited to participate in our study, but only roughly 21% participated. Of 713 participants with valid serological data, 8.8% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, and among the 686 with complete survey data 8.9% tested positive for antibodies. Seropositivity was not associated with gender, age or race/ethnicity. Seropositivity was highest among firefighters who reported working in the vicinity of LA International Airport, which had a known outbreak in July 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Seroprevalence among firefighters in our sample was 8.8%, however, we lack a full workplace seroprevalence estimate to compare the relative magnitude against general population seroprevalence (15%). Workplace safety protocols, such as access to personal protective equipment and testing, can mitigate increased risk of infection at work, and may have eliminated differences in disease burden by geography and race/ethnicity in our sample.